Opinion Flash
Making early preparations for declining population
Updated: 2019-01-11 17:56

According to a report on China's population and labor problems recently released by the Institute of Population and Labor Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Social Sciences Academic Press, calculated as the total fertility rate estimated by the United Nations, China's population will peak at 1.442 billion in 2029, begin to decline after 2030, and shrink to 1996 levels by 2065, Beijing Youth Daily reported.

Fertility rate is the ratio of the number of babies born in a given period of time (usually one year) to the number of women of average reproductive age in the same period, usually expressed in thousandths. The fertility rate estimated by the United Nations to be 1.63 from 2015 to 2020, 1.66 from 2020 to 2025, 1.69 from 2025 to 2030, and 1.71 from 2030 to 2035.

A long-term negative population growth will lead to a highly aging society, serious social and economic problems. Maintaining a moderate level of fertility to avoid the serious problems is a major task, and China should make early preparations to deal with the "negative population growth".

China's population development has undergone an important turning point in the 21st century. In the face of major trends, we must take active and effective measures to address risks and challenges, striving for balanced development of the population itself.

According to a report on China's population and labor problems recently released by the Institute of Population and Labor Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Social Sciences Academic Press, calculated as the total fertility rate estimated by the United Nations, China's population will peak at 1.442 billion in 2029, begin to decline after 2030, and shrink to 1996 levels by 2065, Beijing Youth Daily reported.

Fertility rate is the ratio of the number of babies born in a given period of time (usually one year) to the number of women of average reproductive age in the same period, usually expressed in thousandths. The fertility rate estimated by the United Nations to be 1.63 from 2015 to 2020, 1.66 from 2020 to 2025, 1.69 from 2025 to 2030, and 1.71 from 2030 to 2035.

A long-term negative population growth will lead to a highly aging society, serious social and economic problems. Maintaining a moderate level of fertility to avoid the serious problems is a major task, and China should make early preparations to deal with the "negative population growth".

China's population development has undergone an important turning point in the 21st century. In the face of major trends, we must take active and effective measures to address risks and challenges, striving for balanced development of the population itself.